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New York Knicks at Chicago Bulls

New York Knicks (1-3) at Chicago Bulls (1-3) · United Center

New York Knicks is favored at -270 with the spread at Chicago Bulls +7.5 and the total at 231.5.

New York Knicks
Chicago Bulls
Preview

Knicks at Bulls: Two 1-3 Teams Meet at the United Center With Early Pressure Building

New York and Chicago both stumbled out of the gate, and Wednesday night in Chicago offers one of them a chance to steady things before the slide becomes a story.

Four games is too early for anyone to panic, but a 1-3 start makes every game feel heavier. The Knicks arrive in Chicago on Wednesday with the same record as the Bulls, and reports this week have kept the focus on what has gone wrong. Orlando's win over New York has been cited in coverage of the Magic's next game, and an amNewYork piece says Karl-Anthony Towns has reminded the Knicks of what they need to survive. The franchise also lost a link to its past, as the New York Post reports that former Knicks forward Barry Clemens has died at 83.

Tip-off is set for 8:00 PM ET at the United Center, with the game on NBA League Pass. Both teams need the win, and the first team to string together stops could set the tone in a building where the Bulls will want to protect their home floor early in the season.

Jalen Brunson remains the center of the Knicks' offense, and expectations put him in the mid-20s in scoring. Towns carries a double-double expectation, with lines pointing to more than 20 points and a heavy share of the rebounds. OG Anunoby and Josh Hart round out the production New York will count on. For Chicago, Matas Buzelis is one of the names to watch, and Caleb Wilson and Norman Powell also feature among the evening's notable scorers.

The market sees New York as the stronger side despite the matching records. The Knicks are favored, with Chicago getting 6.5 points on the spread, and the total sits at 232.5, suggesting an expectation of a game played at a healthy pace.

Prices

12 venues · refreshed every 10 min
VenueMoneylineSpreadTotal
NYCHINYCHIOverUnder
NovigNovig-270+257-7.5+102+7.5-104231.5-104231.5-100
DraftKingsDraftKings-278+225-6.5-115+6.5-105232.5-110232.5-110
FanDuelFanDuel-260+215-7.5-102+7.5-120232.5-108232.5-110
BetMGMBetMGM-275+220-7.5-105+7.5-115232.5-110232.5-110
bet365bet365-275+225-7.5-106+7.5-114232.5-110232.5-110
BetRiversBetRivers-275+215-7.5-107+7.5-114232.5-108232.5-113
Hard Rock BetHard Rock Bet-275+230-7.5-115+7.5-105231.5-115231.5+100
theScore BettheScore Bet-275+225-6.5-115+6.5-105232.5-105232.5-115
FanaticsFanatics-280+225-7.5-105+7.5-115232-110232-110
PinnaclePinnacle-271+235-7.5-104+7.5-108231.5-110231.5-102
KalshiKalshi-290+240––––
PolymarketPolymarket-284+245––––

Best price on each side is marked: on a spread or total, the best number first, then the best price at it. Kalshi and Polymarket are shown after their fees.

Player props

Main lines at Novig and the sportsbooks, best price on each side.

PlayerLineOverUnder
Jalen Brunson
Points
26.5+102Novig-120Novig
Karl-Anthony Towns
Points
21.5-102Novig-110DraftKings
Norman Powell
Points
19.5+110BetMGM-120Novig
OG Anunoby
Points
17.5-102DraftKings-110Pinnacle
Caleb Wilson
Points
16.5-115BetMGM+108Novig
Matas Buzelis
Points
12.5-127DraftKings-101DraftKings
Mikal Bridges
Points
12.5+101DraftKings-129DraftKings
Josh Hart
Points
11.5-110BetMGM+100FanDuel
Jalen Smith
Points
10.5+104Novig+100BetMGM
Josh Giddey
Points
10.5-102Novig+100Pinnacle
Tre Jones
Points
8.5+108Novig-125BetMGM
Buddy Hield
Points
7.5+133Novig

The Sharp Desk on this game

All picks
Lou
Veteran market maker
Pending
New York Knicks at Chicago Bulls· Wed, Oct 28 · 8:00 PM ET
Spread
Chicago Bulls +7.5
-110
Hard Rock Bet

Two 1-3 teams and they're asking Chicago to take a full extra point. Knicks lay 6.5, Bulls get 7.5 at -110, so I'll take the 7.5 and the hook that comes with it. That half-point around 7 is real money, kid, and I'm collecting it.

Lou
Veteran market maker
Pending
New York Knicks at Chicago Bulls· Wed, Oct 28 · 8:00 PM ET
Total
Under 233.5
-115
DraftKings

Over sits at 231.5, under at 233.5. That's two free points on the low side for a few cents, -115 against -110, which works out to about 53.5 percent implied. I'll pay the extra nickel for two points of cushion all day. Under.

Lou
Veteran market maker
Pending
New York Knicks at Chicago Bulls· Wed, Oct 28 · 8:00 PM ET
Player pick · Rebounds
Josh Hart under 7.5 rebounds
+113
Novig

Josh Hart under 7.5 rebounds at +113 implies about 47 percent. Over is -111 and under is +113, so the market has this close to a coin flip, and I'd rather be the one getting paid plus money. Small edge, honest price. Under.

The Quant
Ex hedge-fund quant
Pending
New York Knicks at Chicago Bulls· Wed, Oct 28 · 8:00 PM ET
Moneyline
Chicago Bulls to win
+245
Novig

After removing the vig, the price implies about 29% for Chicago. I have it nearer 32%, because two 1-3 teams and home court do not obviously justify a road favorite of this size, so I see a three-point gap. Four games is an anecdote rather than a sample, so my confidence is modest, and a confirmed absence in Chicago's rotation would close the gap.

The Quant
Ex hedge-fund quant
Pending
New York Knicks at Chicago Bulls· Wed, Oct 28 · 8:00 PM ET
Total
Over 231.5
-110
Pinnacle

The best over sits at 231.5 while the best under sits at 233.5, which puts the market's centre near 232.5. At -110 the price implies 52.4%. Taking the low side of that split, I put the over closer to 53%, a thin edge that comes from line placement rather than from any view on pace. If the total moves above 233 before tip, the edge is gone and so is the position.

The Quant
Ex hedge-fund quant
Pending
New York Knicks at Chicago Bulls· Wed, Oct 28 · 8:00 PM ET
Player pick · Points
Jalen Brunson under 25.5 points
-105
BetMGM

The over at -125 and the under at -105 net to a fair probability near 48% for the under. I have it closer to 50%, a two-point gap on a line set high for a road game against an unremarkable opponent. Early-season scoring averages are noisy, so this is a small-conviction position, and I would revisit it if the line dropped to 24.5.

Film Room
Former point guard, TV analyst
Pending
New York Knicks at Chicago Bulls· Wed, Oct 28 · 8:00 PM ET
Spread
New York Knicks -6.5
-111
Novig

Two 1-3 teams, but only one of them was priced as the better roster coming into the year, and the market still has New York laying a big number on the road. The matchup I watch is Brunson in the pick-and-roll against a Chicago group that has not shown it can get stops. If the Bulls drop, he lives at the elbow all night, so I'll take New York -6.5 at -111 over paying -251 for the outright.

Film Room
Former point guard, TV analyst
Pending
New York Knicks at Chicago Bulls· Wed, Oct 28 · 8:00 PM ET
Total
Under 233.5
-115
DraftKings

A team that just ran into a week of losses tends to slow down, tighten its rotation and grind possessions, and I expect the Knicks to come out with a half-court, defense-first plan. The useful part of the price is the number itself: the under is hanging at 233.5 while the over sits at 231.5. That is two extra points of cushion, and that is worth the -115.

Film Room
Former point guard, TV analyst
Pending
New York Knicks at Chicago Bulls· Wed, Oct 28 · 8:00 PM ET
Player pick · Points
Karl-Anthony Towns over 21.5 points
-104
Novig

The headline this week is that Karl-Anthony Towns reminds this team what it needs to survive, and the natural response to a 1-3 start is to run more of the offense through him. He is a mismatch against the Bulls' frontcourt whether they switch onto him or sit back in drop, because he can face up from the arc or post the smaller defender. 21.5 at -104 is close to a coin flip on a night his touches should go up, so I'm buying the over.

The Fade
Contrarian trader
Pending
New York Knicks at Chicago Bulls· Wed, Oct 28 · 8:00 PM ET
Moneyline
New York Knicks to win
-251
Novig

Lou and the Quant both lined up on the Bulls side? Then I'm out. A 1-3 Knicks team sliding down the power rankings is exactly the club nobody wants to be seen holding, and I'll own the -251 while the desk falls for the cute home dog. Fading the fade is still a fade.

The Fade
Contrarian trader
Pending
New York Knicks at Chicago Bulls· Wed, Oct 28 · 8:00 PM ET
Total
Over 231.5
-110
Pinnacle

Lou and Film Room both camped on the Under, which tells me the cozy consensus is a grind-it-out slog between two 1-3 teams. Two struggling defenses don't magically tighten up because the desk wants a quiet night, so I'll take 231.5 at -110 and let them sweat every possession. Boring is a narrative, not a probability.

The Fade
Contrarian trader
Pending
New York Knicks at Chicago Bulls· Wed, Oct 28 · 8:00 PM ET
Player pick · Points
Norman Powell over 19.5 points
+120
Novig

Everyone's chasing Brunson and Towns lines, so the market leaves Norman Powell's 19.5 sitting at plus money like he's an afterthought. If this game opens up the way I think it does, the overlooked scorer is where the value hides. Nobody's talking about him, which is precisely why I am.

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